摘要

 

高盛今年 3 月上調對東證股價指數(TOPIX)未來 12 個月的預期點位,從原先的 2,650 上調至 2,900,幅度近 10%。瀚亞投信表示,日股未來三至五年,在眾多利多接棒下獲得支撐,除了財務重整持續到 2026 年,政府對產業補助也將延續支撐力道。


日本自今年起至 2026 年期間接連的利多話題,使日股續漲動能得以延續。

一、2024 年日本春鬥協商結果,薪資調幅約 5%,隨後日本央行罕見地釋出多項政策決議,其中包括終止負利率環境;預料有感的薪資增幅,將拉抬日本內需消費,帶動各產業的經濟成長,形成正面的經濟循環。

二、日本內需帶動下,今年日本企業的財報有望更加亮眼,將有助於 2025 年的日股行情。

三、2026 年是東京證交所強迫企業財務重整的期限,預料整體企業資金效率將上軌道,而企業資本支出的提升,也將為往後帶來更多年的動能

四、2026 年以後,政府仍會對個別產業提供補助,包括:電池、半導體等,加上流程自動化與淨碳零等長期題材,日股行情值得期待。

先前全球科技股高漲下,激勵日本成長股的表現,近期資金輪動較快速,低評價個股逐漸受惠。 瀚亞投資-日本動力股票基金研究團隊表示,近期日本成長股表現較疲弱,拖累大盤高檔震盪,反而中小型股較具抗跌性,預料隨資金輪動下,將轉至較低基期的類股,包括:化學、原物料等。

表:日股未來三至五年利多動能
japan_20240409

資料來源:瀚亞投信。

更多文章

了解更多
【印度溫度計】市場樂觀情緒佳  印度股票多頭行情延續

in insights

股票

【印度溫度計】市場樂觀情緒佳 印度股票多頭行情延續

2024/08

受惠於市場樂觀情緒、對聯準會降息期望增強、企業獲利亮眼等因素,印度 Sensex 指數 7 月份延續前一月上漲動能...

【亞洲科技】瀚亞亞洲科技資本家股票基金-A與SA級別  9月登場募集

in insights

股票

【亞洲科技】瀚亞亞洲科技資本家股票基金-A與SA級別  9月登場募集

2024/08

瞄準亞洲科技股的爆發潛力,瀚亞亞洲科技資本家股票基金-A與SA級別日前已獲主管機關核准募集,預計將於 9 月 23...

【亞洲科技資本家】瀚亞新基金雙策略 打造亞洲納斯達克DNA

in insights

股票

【亞洲科技資本家】瀚亞新基金雙策略 打造亞洲納斯達克DNA

2024/08

瀚亞投信 9 月 23 日起將募集【瀚亞亞洲科技資本家股票基金】,推出 A 累積及 SA 累積後收級別,著眼亞洲科...

This document is produced by Eastspring Investments (Singapore) Limited and issued in:

Singapore and Australia (for wholesale clients only) by Eastspring Investments (Singapore) Limited (UEN: 199407631H), which is incorporated in Singapore, is exempt from the requirement to hold an Australian financial services licence and is licensed and regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore under Singapore laws which differ from Australian laws.

Hong Kong by Eastspring Investments (Hong Kong) Limited and has not been reviewed by the Securities and Futures Commission of Hong Kong.

Indonesia by PT Eastspring Investments Indonesia, an investment manager that is licensed, registered and supervised by the Indonesia Financial Services Authority (OJK).

Malaysia by Eastspring Investments Berhad (531241-U).

United States of America (for institutional clients only) by Eastspring Investments (Singapore) Limited (UEN: 199407631H), which is incorporated in Singapore and is registered with the U.S Securities and Exchange Commission as a registered investment adviser.

European Economic Area (for professional clients only) and Switzerland (for qualified investors only) by Eastspring Investments (Luxembourg) S.A., 26, Boulevard Royal, 2449 Luxembourg, Grand-Duchy of Luxembourg, registered with the Registre de Commerce et des Sociétés (Luxembourg), Register No B 173737.

United Kingdom (for professional clients only) by Eastspring Investments (Luxembourg) S.A. - UK Branch, 10 Lower Thames Street, London EC3R 6AF.

Chile (for institutional clients only) by Eastspring Investments (Singapore) Limited (UEN: 199407631H), which is incorporated in Singapore and is licensed and regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore under Singapore laws which differ from Chilean laws.

The afore-mentioned entities are hereinafter collectively referred to as Eastspring Investments.


The views and opinions contained herein are those of the author on this page, and may not necessarily represent views expressed or reflected in other Eastspring Investments’ communications. This document is solely for information purposes and does not have any regard to the specific investment objective, financial situation and/or particular needs of any specific persons who may receive this document. This document is not intended as an offer, a solicitation of offer or a recommendation, to deal in shares of securities or any financial instruments. It may not be published, circulated, reproduced or distributed without the prior written consent of Eastspring Investments. Reliance upon information in this posting is at the sole discretion of the reader. Please consult your own professional adviser before investing.

Investment involves risk. Past performance and the predictions, projections, or forecasts on the economy, securities markets or the economic trends of the markets are not necessarily indicative of the future or likely performance of Eastspring Investments or any of the funds managed by Eastspring Investments.

Information herein is believed to be reliable at time of publication. Data from third party sources may have been used in the preparation of this material and Eastspring Investments has not independently verified, validated or audited such data. Where lawfully permitted, Eastspring Investments does not warrant its completeness or accuracy and is not responsible for error of facts or opinion nor shall be liable for damages arising out of any person’s reliance upon this information. Any opinion or estimate contained in this document may subject to change without notice.

Eastspring Investments (excluding JV companies) companies are ultimately wholly-owned/indirect subsidiaries/associate of Prudential plc of the United Kingdom. Eastspring Investments companies (including JV’s) and Prudential plc are not affiliated in any manner with Prudential Financial, Inc., a company whose principal place of business is in the United States of America or with the Prudential Assurance Company, a subsidiary of M&G plc (a company incorporated in the United Kingdom).